Monthly Archives: April 2020

Two of the biggest odds-defying wins in the history of sports

Sit with a seasoned punter and they’d gladly tell you about the value in backing the underdog. Any moment you get a chance to win a significantly higher return on your investment, it’s worth considering, regardless of the risk.

Although betting on an average underdog is recommended only if the value is right, there have been some underdogs in the past who were below average and yet defied all odds to create sports history. The betting odds they overcame seemed insurmountable at one point, to the extent that no reasonable punter would have backed them.

However, some sports gamblers relish the thrill of hitting that once-in-a-million jackpot that can pay them thousands (or hundreds of thousands) of dollars on a long shot! Such bets are a proof that even though they are highly unlikely, miracles do happen on the sports field.

St. Louis Cardinals overcame 999 to 1 odds and won the World Series in 2011

The unthinkable happened in MLB when in 2011 St Louis Cardinals beat 999 to 1 odds and won the World Series. Let’s delve a little deeper to understand how odds became this lopsided. Cardinals were trailing by 4.5 games against the Braves, and were unlikely to get the wildcard spot. This was when Vegas-based bookies, most of which have their own reputed betting portals today, offered these odds. To throw some more light, these odds were offered as a futures bet wherein Cardinals were required to go on and win the World Series.

Braves fumbled heavily in the season’s final 15 games, while Cardinals went 11-4. This was good enough for the latter to bag the wildcard spot. However, no one knew that Cardinals were just getting started!

The World Series offered the most memorable classic in the history of baseball when Cardinals scraped through, despite being down to last strike many times in the competition, and eventually won the series in seven games.

Going back to the most important question now – Did anyone buy those 999-1 odds? Yes! A man got one better on the bookies by betting $ 250 on St Louis Cardinals, just prior to their miracle run. Resultantly, he bagged a total of $ 250,000!

Leicester City defied 5000 to 1 odds and won the English Premier League in 2016

It’s no news that English Premier League has some of the best internationally recognised soccer clubs like Chelsea, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United and more. A league like that featuring all kinds of powerhouses, no thought of Leicester City going on to do the unthinkable. In fact, they were being offered at 5000 to 1 odds to win the league!

However, there was one ardent fan who decided to take his chances and bet around $ 60 (in UK pounds) on the team. Majority of punters would call that a waste of money, but that’s the reason why they indulge in such games!

Fast forward to the end of EPL season and Leicester City had created the most unlikely underdog story in the history of the Premier League. They won the championship and some lucky gamblers won wads of cash!

A Science Of Betting And Gambling

The way we bet can be determined by many different factors – maybe the odds are looking good, our favourite fighter is on a winning streak or performing well, or the team we’re betting on has a good history against their opponents – but one thing that always remains a constant is the bookmakers advantage, because as always – the house always wins.

The internet, and the spread of information, however have done a lot to help would be betters in making sure they’re getting the best odds possible and also have the highest probability of seeing a good return on their bets – and as such the science of sports betting was born with a huge amount of data to drive the predictions. Our smartphones allow us accessibility to these services wherever we are, and with that the boom of online betting began, TBC reference some gambling sites not on gamestop to help find sites with some of the better odds available to you, but the wealth of data we have available to us can’t be ignored either. There are plenty of articles around for those explaining the ways in which data can be used to beat the odds and how looking at past data can provide an advantage to you, but also just as many that show those who’ve abused the system and the result not turning out so well for them. To get the most out of your betting, there are some things you can keep in mind:

Never think you know – If you’re adamant that you know, you just know that something is a certainty, then it’s probably safe to not place the bet at all. If you’re allowing yourself to let emotion dictate how you place the bet, then you’re moving away from all the data available to you.

Money management – The old adage of you win some you lose some will always ring true – the important factor to keep in mind is ensuring the ‘some’ that you win definitely outweigh the ‘some’ you lose – again following all the data provided to you from our vast knowledge of betting and winning history should be used to guide your decision!

It’s not just the odds – It’s important to remember that the winning odds, or winning percentage, always factor in the additional cost needed to ensure the betting operator gets their share of the return too – if you see a number of different odds on similar games, it’s important to factor in the additional 1-2% added on top.

A measured and structured approach to betting using all the information available to you is what will help you find and keep the best value – and as always gambling in a responsible way is always the best practice, if you find you’re putting just a little too much money down on a sure thing to find the return is what you’d hoped or that you’re losing a little too often, it’s time to step back.

NBA BETTING ODDS – MVP AWARD, 2019-2020

It is truly crazy to think that the season has been on pause for nearly a month. Having attended several NBA games this year with plans to hit a few more, it’s wild that so much time has passed without the game. There is a Players Only 2K Tournament going on right now, and a potential H-O-R-S-E- game in the near future. Adam Silver said yesterday that there will not be any updates until May 1st. That is 24 days from now.

The Lakers and Bucks were atop their conferences when this happened, though a date in the Finals was never a guarantee. Boston, Miami and Toronto wanted a word in the East, while literally any team in the West had a chance to run the gauntlet. The top seven teams were all at least 11 games over .500, proving just how dominant the conference is. Enough about the season that isn’t though. Below are the three guys with the best odds for MVP at the time of the stoppage.

1) Luka Doncic (+2500)

As amazing as Luka’s season has been, it does not seem that the odds of his MVP win are very high. He would become the youngest to win the award, being a full year younger than D Rose was during his breakthrough season. Luka is putting up dream numbers that would have been unthinkable for somebody his age just a few years back. He has averaged 29-9-9 for the year, having just turned 21 last month.

This is amazing on so many levels. Considering how good his rookie season was, the leap he took is wild. He is on pace to put up better numbers than James Harden across the board next season. The only issue here is that the two guys ahead of him have managed to blow his numbers out of the water, while also taking their teams to the #1 seed. Luka’s Mavs are #7 in the west, so that may be the biggest factor hurting. Top 3 in his early 20’s though? Impressive.

2) LeBron James (+450)

He has won four MVP awards in his NBA career, but should probably have a few more than that. Now in his 17th year in the league, LeBron is still dominating stat-wise, and literally. Dunking over people. Driving the lane. And proving his ability as one of the best passers ever. Starting at point guard for the first time in his career, Bron is posting 10.6 assists per night, a career-high. He is also averaging 26 points and eight rebounds, while making a career-best 2.2 threes per game.

He has the Lakers atop the West. He is dropping dimes at a career-rate. There is not too much more than can truly be asked of him. It’s just that what Giannis is doing out there trumps his elite campaign. It’s hard to say who deserves it more.

3) Giannis Antetokounmpo (-560)

After beating out James Harden for the MVP award last season, it seems that the Greek Freak is on pace to win the award for a second season in a row. He would be the first player since Steph Curry to do so. Antetokounmpo (30-14-6 in 30 minutes per night) is having a magnificent season. He has turned himself into an elite scorer in the paint, plus is rebounding as well as any centers in the league. He is also making a career-high 1.5 threes per night

He has rounded into a two-way superstar that teams have to completely gameplan around. Part of the Bucks amazing success this year has to be attributed to Mike Budenholzer and his scheme, and depth. But what Giannis is doing to lead them on the court is unbelievable. Just a reminder that is only 25 years of age. Whoever you bet – do so at our favorite pay per head bookie site https://www.realbookies.com/.
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Charlotte Flair Is A Value Bet At WWE WrestleMania 36

WWE decided that WrestleMania 36 will take place on April 4 and April 5 at the WWE Performance Center in Orlando, with no audience.

The event was originally scheduled to be at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay on April 5 but the decision to change the venue was made due to coronavirus concerns. Former Patriots tight end Rob Gronkowski will host WrestleMania 36 and it will start at 7:00 PM ET on both nights. We look at the card and share a bet.

WrestleMania 36 card as of this writing:

Saturday, April 4

WWE Championship Match: Brock Lesnar (c) vs. Drew McIntyre

NXT Women’s Championship Match: Rhea Ripley (c) vs. Charlotte Flair

The Undertaker vs. AJ Styles (Boneyard Match)

Kevin Owens vs. Seth Rollins

Sunday, April 5

WWE Universal Championship Match: Goldberg (c) vs. TBD

RAW Women’s Championship Match: Becky Lynch (c) vs. Shayna Baszler

John Cena vs. “The Fiend” Bray Wyatt

Other Matches

Edge vs. Randy Orton (Last Man Standing Match)

SmackDown Women’s Championship Match: Bayley (c) vs. Lacey Evans vs. Tamina vs. Naomi vs. Sasha Banks

Raw Tag Team Championship Match: The Street Profits (c) vs. Angel Garza & Austin Theory

Aleister Black vs. Bobby Lashley

Elias vs. King Corbin

Otis vs. Dolph Ziggler

Charlotte Flair Can Overcome Rhea Ripley

Rhea Ripley should win this match for storyline purposes but while looking for value on the card, Charlotte Flair comes to mind because of her price. Any time you get plus money on her you have to back her. Charlotte Flair has been the face of the women’s division in WWE since her debut and she has faced everyone on Raw and SmackDown.

Having Charlotte Flair win the Championship and go to NXT for a while makes sense. She will give the brand more star power and she will get a completely new list of opponents and dream matches. Imagine Flair facing Io Shirai, Bianca Belair, Tegan Nox and Candice LeRae. As for Ripley, she could go to Raw or SmackDown and have a decent push there. Losing to Flair doesn’t hurt Ripley’s credibility.

Pick: Charlotte Flair +145

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Sabrina Ionescu A Lock To Go No. 1 Overall In 2020 WNBA Draft?

Former Oregon guard Sabrina Ionescu is favored to be selected first overall in the upcoming 2020 WNBA Draft. Is this prop worth a bet?

Ionescu is destined to go No. 1 overall. The talented guard had one of the greatest careers in college basketball history, for a male or female player. She is the only man or woman with at least 2,000 points, 1,000 rebounds and 1,000 assists in NCAA Basketball history. The 22-year-old’s 26 triple-doubles in her legendary career are the most in NCAA Men’s and Women’s Basketball history and was named unanimous AP Women’s Basketball Player of the Year.

Will Sabrina Ionescu Be Selected First in the 2020 WNBA Draft?

Yes -2000
No +700

Ionescu is an incredible player who has it all: vision, handles, shooting, leadership. A three-time Pac-12 Player of the Year, she can be the face of the WNBA for years to come and she’s already recognized as a basketball icon worldwide. The late Kobe Bryant and many current NBA players, including Stephen Curry and LeBron James have shown their admiration for her and I can’t wait to see what the next step in her career will be.

The New York Liberty is the team the clock for the WNBA Draft and they should take Ionescu for all the reasons mentioned above. Also, the Liberty will play their home games at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn next season and Ionescu playing in a large market would be great marketing for them and for the entire league. Not to mention that the Liberty’s chances to win a WNBA Championship one day grow significantly if they can build their team around Ionescu.

As for the Sabrina Ionescu draft position prop mentioned above, at -2000 odds there’s little value but she is the best player available so it makes sense to make a small bet on this.

Other 2020 WNBA Draft Props at our per head premium site:

Number of Oregon Players Selected in Top 5 Odds

Two -120
Three or more -110
One +1400
Zero +5000

Second Overall Pick Odds

Satou Sabally -175
Lauren Cox +155
Field +800

Fourth Overall Pick Odds

Chennedy Carter -150
Megan Walker +175
Lauren Cox +700
Field +700

Total Forwards Drafted in First Round Odds

Over 7.5 -120
Under 7.5 -120

Total Guards Drafted in First Round Odds

Over 4.5 -120
Under 4.5 -120

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Betting the AFC North in 2020

The NFL is currently the only thing providing sports fans with any real entertainment and we now have futures odds so…LET’S TALK ABOUT IT. In this particular piece we are going to talk about the AFC North.

History would suggest…

Now, typically I am not one to harp on history when predicting the future in sports but continuity is incredibly important in football and some organizations are well run (Pittsburgh) while others are historically not (Cleveland). Since 2010, three of the four teams in the division have at least one division title with the exception of…you guessed it. Sorry, Cleveland. Over the last ten seasons the Ravens and Steelers have each won four titles and the Bengals have won two. Two of Baltimore’s total have come in each of the past two seasons.

The Favorite

Given that they boast arguably the best quarterback in the league in 2019 MVP Lamar Jackson along with what will almost assuredly be another stout defense, the Baltimore Ravens are currently the odds on favorite to win the AFC North at -200.

The loss of Hayden Hurst will hurt as he was a nice young talent but the defense has added veteran Calais Campbell which will only make them stronger. Jackson is the type of quarterback is going to make things happen regardless of who is around him and Mark Ingram looked like an every-down back last season after slimming down.

The Ravens are the obvious choice to win the division but there is just no value at (-200) and they are just one Lamar Jackson hit away from not being the favorite.

The Value Plays

Vegas has done you a favor here. Sure the Ravens are easily the favorite but we are gambling here. The Steelers at (+350) across the board are a fine bet with the return of future Hall of Fame quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and the addition of Eric Ebron in recent days. Remember how much Andrew Luck loved Eric Ebron? I have a feeling Big Ben is going to love that huge catch radius as well. If everyone can stay healthy, which is always risky, this team has all the pieces.

Believe it or not, Cleveland is a great value this season as well. The Browns are around +500. Baker Mayfield suffered through a horrible second season throwing 21 picks but I am not sure that’s all on him. This team just solidified their offensive line by signing Jake Conklin and gave Mayfield a great safety net in Austin Hooper. Newly minted head coach Kevin Stefanski made Kirk Cousins look competent, why not Baker Mayfield with a ton more weapons?

No thanks, I’m driving

The Cincinnati Bengals bring up the rear at +2000. There is no value in a losing bet and there just isn’t any way that this team is ready to contend with Ryan Finley as their quarterback. I like Joe Mixon, I like some of their pieces on defense but the coach-quarterback combination is the most important combination in professional sports and this club just doesn’t seem to have it right now.

The Pick

If you are the type of guy that takes the Metlife 1.4% 401K growth and you’re happy, go with the Ravens. Put ten units down and enjoy your $500. It’s $500 more than you had. Me? I am going to hope Stefanski can come up with a way to keep Odell Beckham happy (does anyone get paid enough to attempt that?) and utilize all the weapons on the offensive side of the football. The defense has some guys that can play as well, if they are healthy they can improve.

If you want to split the difference, the Steelers are probably the choice for you. Make these bets at A1pph.com; our favorite and best pay per head bookie site.

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Is this the answer to be able to finish the 2019-2020 NBA season?

It is no secret to anyone that most, if not all, of the major sports leagues from around the world have their mind set on finishing their season and crowning a new champion the right way. The NBA is one that since the beginning of the Covid-19 crisis started and the games had to be suspended, publicly said that they intend to do this, and have been looking for the right plan to be able to go ahead and finish all the games that were remaining, and then go to the playoffs, even if that means finishing late in July or even August.

Recent reports in the media have suggested that the NBA officials have turned their attention to what has been done in China, a country which also has a very important basketball league and plays a similar format to the NBA, with a total of 20 teams, and that is resuming action after the whole country stopped all activity, due to the crisis as well.

What they’re doing in China right now, basically, is that they chose two cities, and that’s were every single team will play from now on, until the season is over. No fans in attendance still, of course, but thee point is to try to have every player and every team in a safe environment, kind of a “bubble”, if you want to see it like that, so that they can live there, train and play, for a few weeks, until the championship is defined.

Can the NBA really play in a bubble?

There are many factors to consider if the NBA wants to make this a reality. It’s just an idea so far, and of course, we still need to wait and see how the crisis behaves in the next few weeks and if it’s even possible to think of something like this.

Players, team owners and NBA officials all agree in the sense of carrying on with the season, when it’s safe, and not abandoning the 2019-2020 season, so that’s a start. However, it will not be easy to get everyone on board regarding the conditions and rules that will apply if this plan moves ahead.

On the other hand, it will be important to see what happens in the league starting May, because, even if players and teams have agreed to donate money to many different causes, one of the many ghosts that’s in the air right now is that teams could start reducing players’ salaries soon, and that can cause many different reactions in the league, that could complicate any further plans.

There are no leads so far or any official information that could confirm this plan is true, or which cities are being taken into consideration in any case. However, it is an idea that could save the season and could bring back the excitement and emotions to the millions of NBA fans from around the world. Here in the Price per Head industry we’ll be on top of the news and, as soon as anything is confirmed, we’ll be able to come back and deal the lines for the remaining of the NBA season, so come over now, join and let’s make the most out of the circumstances together.

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Sports Betting Law In Colorado: What Has Changed In The Past Few Months?

As the integration of digital gab ling continues across the world, more and more of us have begun to become accustomed to placing a bet on a football game or horse race. But with tight regulations in the US that are still yet to change, several locations are still yet to offer sports betting in any forms. In this article, we will be looking into sports betting law in Colorado and what has changed in the last few months.

The Legalisation Of Sports Betting In 2019

In 2019, the bill was passed to legalise sports betting in the state of Colorado. It not only had a lot of following but a number of the states leading politicians saw it having a hugely positive effect on businesses as well as the overall economy of the state. This is a huge step in the right direction for sports betting in the US as several other states also begin to legalise sports betting within their states.

The Implemented Taxes On Proceeds

With the passing of the bill, however, comes the legalities surround the revenue that is generated by the organisations. This has seen a 10% tax in place for all revenue generated. Though this is higher than the 6.75% in the state of Nevada, this is also lower than other states. This is set to generate a vast amount of revenue as a result that can be placed back into a number of state projects. This is set to be highly beneficial for the water plan as well as several other projects that are running low on funding during this time.

The Positive Impact On The Economy

With approximately 11 million dollars’ worth of revenue expected by the end of the second year of sorts betting in the state, many see this as a highly beneficial change to the state. However, many industries experts are suggesting that this could be much more should it gain in popularity. With this vast amount of revenue expected to come in, there are a number of companies that will benefit. Whether it is the casinos themselves in the form of a government grant or government-funded projects, this revenue is set to make huge changes throughout the state. For those that are looking to read more updates about it and the other bills set to be passed in the near future, there are many bill trackers and local news coverage online.

The Future Of Sports Betting In The USA

As more and more states begin to pass laws on the future of sports betting there is a real potential for mass adoption of the industry. This is in part down to the economic benefits that it can offer as a result. With a number of states such as Washington already allowing for sports betting in local tribal casinos, it is these states are could be next when it comes to the mass adoption. Not only will the economy benefit, but several state-funded projects will also benefit from the revenue generated by sports betting.

On the 8th of January, a number of commissioners on the Californian government held a meeting to discuss the future of sports betting in the state. This is promising for many as the bill proposed in 2018 was previously rejected. In order for a bill to be passed you, it will need a two-thirds majority and this looks unlikely. Following the meeting, a number of the top leading officials in the state said that they could feel a negative atmosphere in the room. This, therefore, suggests that a number of the Californian politicians are not on in favour of legalising sports betting in the state. However, it is important to note that those from tribal casinos were not there at the hearing. This is important as the tribes in this state carry a vast amount of the votes when it comes to pressing issues such as this.

As these meetings take place and more and more states gin o see the benefits that sport betting can bring to there economy, we could be seeing a mass adoption, not only in tribes but for the population of the United States.