The Denver Broncos face the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday, February 2, in Super Bowl XLVIII. Denver comes into the game as a 2 or 2.5 point favorite.
The Denver Broncos face the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday, February 2, in Super Bowl XLVIII. Denver comes into the game as a 2 or 2.5 point favorite.
The graph below shows the futures odds for each team to win Super Bowl XLVIII at various points in the preseason and prior to each week during the season.
Super Bowl XLVIII futures odds
Lines courtesy of Intertops.com
2013 Summary
The 2013 season saw four different teams, (Denver, New England, San Francisco, and Seattle) considered to be the favorite to win the Super Bowl at one point during the season (including the preseason).
Four days after Super Bowl XLVII New England opened as the favorites to win Super Bowl XLVIII at +650. Seattle's (+1200) and Denver's (+800) odds were the highest they'd be all season. On May 1st San Francisco was the favorite at +650. By that time Denver had been moved down to +700 and Seattle had been bet all the way down to +800. Before the season kicked off, though, Denver had taken on the role of the favorite at +600 while Seattle remained +800.
A few notes…
- After Seattle's 29-3 victory over San Francisco in week 2 the Seahawks took over as the favorite in the NFC. Denver and Seattle would remain the favorites to win their respective conferences throughout the rest of the season.
- Denver remained the lone favorite to win the Super Bowl up until their week 12 loss at New England.
- Denver and Seattle were co-favorites prior to week 13 and headed into the playoffs.
- Seattle was a slight favorite late in the regular season and then prior to the divisional and conference odds. This and the early Super Bowl line (see below) explain why the books opened Seattle as a small favorite in the Super Bowl. Early money poured in on Denver, though, and now we sit at Denver -2 or -2.5.
Early Super Bowl XLVIII Line
Lines courtesy of Sportsbook.ag
This graph shows the early Super Bowl line throughout the year. The left axis reflects the line in terms of the NFC while the right axis reflects the total. The graph demonstrates how the total came down when the NFC was the favorite and then increased when the AFC was the favorite.
